Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 101.886524 112.960388 124.348846 136.909737 150.348581 164.269826 179.754586
2025-04-06 82.953719 99.222631 116.825747 137.171294 159.920699 184.460665 212.817368
2025-04-13 68.776287 88.466652 110.810890 137.750590 169.054399 203.996872 245.656776
2025-04-20 59.734512 82.155797 108.716397 141.941970 181.827336 227.620966 283.609082
2025-04-27 52.013102 76.281997 106.218418 144.948533 192.806695 249.115345 319.450123
2025-05-04 46.336255 72.140747 105.170005 149.198061 204.985573 272.003620 357.228168
2025-05-11 41.085923 67.837663 103.324750 151.979543 215.072336 292.307722 392.107492
2025-05-18 33.657144 59.587115 95.445983 146.204902 213.737034 298.121548 409.046757
2025-05-25 28.432608 53.805498 90.287988 143.451867 215.818355 307.882556 430.708371
2025-06-01 24.734232 49.830751 87.235458 143.184864 220.891644 321.302478 456.975063
2025-06-08 22.060564 47.118025 85.714400 144.811812 228.357751 337.784561 487.260670
2025-06-15 20.707164 46.402544 87.049616 150.451563 241.332246 361.617270 527.304383
2025-06-22 18.836497 44.637307 86.716334 153.735235 251.287691 381.894830 563.446165
2025-06-29 16.570399 41.873599 84.588434 154.206966 257.252947 396.932165 592.991568
2025-07-06 14.622587 39.424083 82.743390 154.939254 263.515874 412.415845 623.323837
2025-07-13 13.571728 38.572252 83.445933 159.552127 275.429340 435.765970 664.447540
2025-07-20 12.409164 37.324763 83.353606 162.850529 285.431609 456.591814 702.421768
2025-07-27 11.566548 36.625828 84.126252 167.483376 297.435340 480.311348 744.542425
2025-08-03 10.574685 35.450005 83.943646 170.512513 307.053087 500.789432 782.469777
2025-08-10 8.517135 31.451029 78.287368 164.247304 302.371745 500.920743 792.445451
2025-08-17 7.123359 28.740537 74.753967 161.258612 302.480148 507.719167 811.549810
2025-08-24 6.181983 26.987549 72.892382 160.969920 306.677314 520.365824 838.845597
2025-08-31 5.536431 25.905777 72.258531 162.738873 314.084531 537.714170 872.864265